Game Off, Game On For Banking Fears

After systemic banking fears died down earlier in the week, Credit Suisse and other European banks are saying "game on!"  Stock prices of said banks led a market-wide sell-off in equities overnight.  Bonds rallied on the flight-to-safety, and yields are now back near Monday's lows. With the Fed in the midst of the typical 11-day communications blackout ahead of the next meeting, speculation has been running fairly wild as to how recent events affect the rate outlook.  To be fair, most of the "running wild" is a product of the new itself.  The Fed's blackout period only adds a modest amount of uncertainty. If you ask financial markets, everyone is fairly certain the Fed still hikes 25bps next week.  After that, it's anyone's guess as Fed Funds Futures suggest rate cuts on the horizon.  The overnight news brings December's Fed rate outlook to even lower levels than those seen on Monday. Long story short, the overnight move resets the board to be roughly in line with Monday morning.  It's like one of those placards at the work place that boasts "number of days without an accident."  We got up to "2" yesterday, and rates had risen accordingly. Now it's back to zero, even though the Credit Suisse rout isn't the same sort "accident" as SVB or Signature. 
http://dlvr.it/SkxDC6

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

#ForBuyers #ForSellers #Pricing #HousingMarketUpdates Home Prices Still Growing – Just at a More Normal Pace: If you’re feeling a bit muddy on what’s happening with home prices, that’s no surprise. http://dlvr.it/Sz993K

Image
#ForBuyers #ForSellers #Pricing #HousingMarketUpdates Home Prices Still Growing – Just at a More Normal Pace: If you’re feeling a bit muddy on what’s happening with home prices, that’s no surprise. http://dlvr.it/Sz993K /> http://dlvr.it/Sz99Dp
Read more

Will a Silver Tsunami Change the 2024 Housing Market? Have you ever heard the term “Silver Tsunami” and wondered what it's all about? If so, that might be because there’s been lot of talk about it online recently. Let's dive into what it is and why it won't drastically impact the housing market. What Does Silver Tsunami Mean? A recent article from HousingWire calls it: “. . . a colloquialism referring to aging Americans changing their housing arrangements to accommodate aging . . .” The thought is that as baby boomers grow older, a significant number will start downsizing their homes. Considering how large that generation is, if these moves happened in a big wave, it would affect the housing market by causing a significant uptick in the number of larger homes for sale. That influx of homes coming onto the market would impact the balance of supply and demand and more. The concept makes sense in theory, but will it happen? And if so, when? Why It Won’t Have a Huge Impact on the Housing Market in 2024 Experts say, so far, a silver tsunami hasn’t happened – and it probably won't anytime soon. According to that same article from HousingWire: “. . . the silver tsunami’s transformative potential for the U.S. housing market has not yet materialized in any meaningful way, and few expect it to anytime soon.” Clearly, not every baby boomer is planning to sell or move – and even those who do won’t do it all at once. Instead, it will be more gradual, happening slowly over time. If you’re worried about a Silver Tsunami shaking up the housing market, don’t be. Any impact from baby boomers moving will be gradual over many years. Fleming sums it up best: “Demographic trends, they don't tsunami. They trickle.” #realestate #homeownership #homebuying www.DanFreshley.com

Image
Will a Silver Tsunami Change the 2024 Housing Market? Have you ever heard the term “Silver Tsunami” and wondered what it's all about? If so, that might be because there’s been lot of talk about it online recently. Let's dive into what it is and why it won't drastically impact the housing market. What Does Silver Tsunami Mean? A recent article from HousingWire calls it: “. . . a colloquialism referring to aging Americans changing their housing arrangements to accommodate aging . . .” The thought is that as baby boomers grow older, a significant number will start downsizing their homes. Considering how large that generation is, if these moves happened in a big wave, it would affect the housing market by causing a significant uptick in the number of larger homes for sale. That influx of homes coming onto the market would impact the balance of supply and demand and more. The concept makes sense in theory, but will it happen? And if so, when? Why It Won’t Have a Huge
Read more